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ArticleMarket intelligenceMay 28, 20263 min read

The global market that actually runs through a few doors

A crop grown on every continent feels like it needs watching everywhere. The trade figures say otherwise, and that changes where a rights holder should spend attention.

By Tomer Biran, Founder of Greenstone

Blueberries are grown on nearly every continent, which makes the market feel impossibly dispersed. If your variety can be planted almost anywhere, the instinct is that you have to watch almost everywhere. The trade figures tell a different and far more useful story: the fruit may be grown all over the world, but it moves through a surprisingly small number of doors.

That gap between where a crop is grown and where it is traded is the most practical thing a rights holder can understand about protecting its value.

Dispersed production, concentrated trade

The numbers are striking once you look at the cross-border flow rather than the planting map. On the International Blueberry Organization's figures, the top ten exporting countries account for roughly eighty-eight per cent of global fresh blueberry export volume, and the top ten importers absorb about eighty-five per cent of imports. The trade that actually crosses borders at scale runs through a relatively small set of countries, ports and counterparties.

So the picture of a sprawling, everywhere-at-once market is partly an illusion. Production is genuinely global. Trade is not. The fruit converges on a manageable number of routes and market points where it is packed, shipped and sold in volume, and that convergence is where the commercial value, and the commercial exposure, concentrates.

Production is global, but trade is not. The fruit converges on a short list of routes, and so should your attention.

Why concentration is an advantage, not a complication

For anyone responsible for varietal value, compliance and royalties, this is good news rather than bad. A global market does not require equally dispersed monitoring. It requires understanding the small number of key routes, counterparties and choke points where the fruit moves at scale, and watching those well.

This reframes the whole problem. Instead of an impossible mandate to see everything, everywhere, the task becomes a focused one: identify where your specific varieties are actually packed, shipped and sold in volume, and concentrate visibility there. Not everything needs to be monitored everywhere at once, and trying to usually means doing all of it badly. The better question is where the fruit really moves, and where visibility genuinely pays.

Where a disciplined strategy starts

A rights holder we spoke with had been treating monitoring as a worldwide obligation and finding it both expensive and shallow, a thin layer of attention spread across far more territory than the fruit ever touched. Narrowing the focus to the handful of corridors and counterparties that carried most of their volume did two things at once: it cut the cost, and it deepened the view exactly where exposure was largest. The map got smaller and the picture got sharper.

That is the logic behind the focused approach we take at Greenstone and behind Argus, the monitoring tool we built: concentrate effort where value concentrates, rather than diluting it across a map that flatters the scale of the problem. Concentration is not where the strategy ends, and smaller or emerging channels still earn their place over time. But beginning where most of the value actually moves is how the disciplined operators turn a global market from an overwhelming obligation into a short, workable list.

Frequently asked questions

If a crop is grown worldwide, doesn't visibility have to be worldwide too?

Less than the geography suggests. Production is dispersed, but trade is concentrated: a relatively small number of countries, ports and counterparties handle most of the volume that crosses borders at scale. For a rights holder thinking about where value is realised and where it leaks, that means visibility can be focused on the routes that actually carry the fruit, rather than spread thinly across every place a plant happens to grow.

How concentrated is the trade, really?

More than most people assume. On the International Blueberry Organization's figures, the top ten exporting countries account for roughly eighty-eight per cent of global fresh blueberry export volume, and the top ten importers absorb about eighty-five per cent of imports. When that much of the cross-border trade runs through that few participants, the map of where to pay attention gets a lot smaller and a lot clearer.

Doesn't focusing monitoring mean missing infringement elsewhere?

It is about sequence rather than blindness. Concentration tells you where the largest, most realisable exposure sits, so you start there rather than trying to watch everywhere at once and watching nowhere well. Smaller or emerging channels still matter and can be added, but beginning with the routes that carry most of the value is usually how a disciplined strategy starts, not where it ends.

How would a rights holder know which routes matter for their varieties?

By mapping where their specific fruit is packed, shipped and sold at scale, which is rarely the same as the full list of countries where it is grown. Depending on the variety and its markets, a handful of corridors and counterparties typically account for most of the commercial value. Identifying those is the practical first step; it turns a vague sense of global exposure into a short, workable list of places where visibility genuinely pays.

Book a free 30-minute session

Trying to monitor varietal value across a whole world map? In a free 30-minute session, we will help you find the few routes that actually matter.

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Related topics

global trademarket concentrationblueberriesmonitoringIP risksupply chainroyalty management

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Tomer Biran

About the author

Tomer Biran, Founder of Greenstone

Tomer Biran is the founder of Greenstone. He has spent more than twenty years on both sides of the table: as a qualified lawyer and former General Counsel to international organisations across multiple jurisdictions, and as a founder and operator of B2B and B2C businesses across the UK, EU, and US. He has served as General Manager of a leading plant breeders' company with a global footprint and as General Counsel of an international fresh produce marketing group. He holds a Master of Law and Business from WHU and Bucerius Law School in Hamburg, where he was a Joachim Herz Excellence Scholar, and a Bachelor of Laws. That blend of commercial operating experience and legal depth is what drives Greenstone's commercial-first approach to plant variety rights and commercialisation.

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